Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 26.33% | 27.17% | 46.5% |
| Both teams to score 46.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.02% | 57.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.33% | 78.67% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.19% | 37.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.42% | 74.58% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% | 24.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.44% | 59.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 6.19% 2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.66% Total : 26.33% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 13.09% 0-2 @ 9.09% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-3 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-4 @ 1.46% 1-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.5% |