Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Elche had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 32.81% | 28.43% | 38.76% |
| Both teams to score 46.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.93% | 60.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.71% | 80.29% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% | 33.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% | 70.59% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% | 30.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% | 66.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.81% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.43% | 0-1 @ 12.25% 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 7.36% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.75% |