Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Valencia |
| 47.54% | 25.65% | 26.81% |
| Both teams to score 51.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.99% | 52.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.26% | 73.74% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% | 21.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.87% | 55.13% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.83% | 34.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.14% | 70.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-0 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.54% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.48% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.03% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 4.31% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.25% Total : 26.81% |