Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 32.68% | 24.43% | 42.88% |
| Both teams to score 58.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% | 43.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% | 66.21% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% | 25.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.14% | 60.85% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% | 20.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.92% | 53.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 7.69% 1-0 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.68% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 9% 0-1 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 6.66% 1-3 @ 4.75% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 3.21% 1-4 @ 1.88% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.82% Total : 42.88% |