La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

Jul 19, 2020 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Leganes
2 - 2
Real Madrid

Gil (45+1'), Assale (79')
Recio (39'), Ruibal (43'), Bustinza (49'), Silva (56')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ramos (9'), Asensio (52')
Mariano (66')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 12.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.72%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Real Madrid
12.97%	21.72%	65.3%

Both teams to score 41.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.87%

54.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.45%

75.55%

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.93%

51.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.61%

85.39%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.08%

15.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.84%

45.16%

Score Analysis

Leganes 12.97%

Real Madrid 65.28%

Draw 21.72%

Leganes	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 5.46% 2-1 @ 3.37% 2-0 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.31% Total : 12.97%	1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 8.13% 2-2 @ 3.1% Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.72%	0-1 @ 14.93% 0-2 @ 13.72% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-3 @ 8.41% 1-3 @ 5.65% 0-4 @ 3.87% 1-4 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-5 @ 1.42% 1-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.61% Total : 65.28%