Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 30.3% | 27.99% | 41.71% |
| Both teams to score 46.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.89% | 59.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.45% | 79.55% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.77% | 35.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% | 71.99% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% | 27.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.45% | 63.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 6.83% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.1% Total : 30.29% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.84% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 12.55% 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 8% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.78% Total : 41.71% |