Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Granada had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.93%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 15.76% | 21.92% | 62.32% |
| Both teams to score 47.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.26% | 49.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.25% | 71.75% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.72% | 44.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.64% | 80.35% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.59% | 15.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.77% | 44.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 5.56% 2-1 @ 4.23% 2-0 @ 2.26% 3-1 @ 1.15% 3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.48% Total : 15.76% | 1-1 @ 10.39% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.91% | 0-1 @ 12.76% 0-2 @ 11.93% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 6.06% 0-4 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-5 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.15% 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.11% Total : 62.32% |