La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

Jul 16, 2020 at 8pm UK

Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Villarreal

Benzema (29', 77' pen.)
Carvajal (54'), Modric (62'), Isco (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Iborra (83')
Chakla (18'), Quintilla (68')

Reaction

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Real wrapped up the title with victory over Villarreal on Thursday.

Jul 17, 07:26

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 17.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Villarreal
61.88%	20.68%	17.44%

Both teams to score 54.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.55%

41.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.15%

63.85%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.12%

12.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.74%

39.26%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.8%

37.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.02%

73.98%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 61.88%

Villarreal 17.44%

Draw 20.68%

Real Madrid	Draw	Villarreal
2-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 6.8% 4-0 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 3.36% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-0 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.4% Total : 61.88%	1-1 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 4.92% 0-0 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.68%	1-2 @ 4.8% 0-1 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.62% 1-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.44%