Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
61.88% | 20.68% | 17.44% |
Both teams to score 54.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.55% | 41.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.15% | 63.85% |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% | 12.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.74% | 39.26% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.8% | 37.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.02% | 73.98% |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
2-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 6.8% 4-0 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 3.36% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-0 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.4% Total : 61.88% | 1-1 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 4.92% 0-0 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.68% | 1-2 @ 4.8% 0-1 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.62% 1-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 81 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |