La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

Jul 5, 2020 at 1pm UK

San Mames

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Real Madrid

Garcia (39'), Garcia (73'), Muniain (90+5'), Berchiche (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramos (73' pen.)
Ramos (90+2'), Casemiro (90+3'), Carvajal (90+6')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Madrid
19.96%	23.2%	56.84%

Both teams to score 51.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.4%

48.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.28%

70.71%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.4%

38.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.66%

75.34%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.12%

16.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.1%

46.9%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 19.96%

Real Madrid 56.83%

Draw 23.19%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 6.2% 2-1 @ 5.25% 2-0 @ 2.95% 3-1 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.48% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.47% Total : 19.96%	1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.19%	0-1 @ 11.58% 0-2 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-3 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 5.82% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-4 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 2.59% 2-4 @ 1.23% 0-5 @ 0.97% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.98% Total : 56.83%