Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 39.81% | 26.05% | 34.14% |
| Both teams to score 53.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.37% | 50.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.46% | 72.53% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% | 25.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.31% | 59.69% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% | 28.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% | 63.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.81% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.94% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.14% |