Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 78.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 6.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.95%) and 3-0 (12.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
| 78.98% | 14.67% | 6.35% |
| Both teams to score 37.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.74% | 44.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.36% | 66.63% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.84% | 9.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.94% | 31.05% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.81% | 59.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.77% | 90.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
| 2-0 @ 15.48% 1-0 @ 12.95% 3-0 @ 12.34% 2-1 @ 8.12% 4-0 @ 7.38% 3-1 @ 6.48% 4-1 @ 3.87% 5-0 @ 3.53% 5-1 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.7% 6-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.84% Total : 78.96% | 1-1 @ 6.8% 0-0 @ 5.42% 2-2 @ 2.13% Other @ 0.32% Total : 14.67% | 0-1 @ 2.84% 1-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 1.72% Total : 6.35% |