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Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 5, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Napoli logo

Rijeka
1 - 2
Napoli

Muric (13')
Smolcic (30'), Braut (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Demme (43'), Braut (62' og.)
Politano (22'), Koulibaly (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Rijeka and Napoli, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawNapoli
22.1%24.76%53.14%
Both teams to score 49.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61%52.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92%74.08%
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.43%38.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68%75.32%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32%19.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32%51.68%
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 22.1%
    Napoli 53.13%
    Draw 24.76%
HNK RijekaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.23%
2-1 @ 5.6%
2-0 @ 3.45%
3-1 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.45%
3-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 22.1%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 7.59%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 12.34%
0-2 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 9.55%
0-3 @ 5.43%
1-3 @ 5.18%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-4 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 2.1%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 53.13%