Europa League
Nov 5, 2020 5.55pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Robert Muric 13' goal
  • Hrvoje Smolcic 30' yellowcard
  • Filip Braut 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matteo Politano 22'
  • goal Diego Demme 43'
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 45'+2'
  • goal Filip Braut 62' (OG)

HNK Rijeka vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 29, 2020 8.00pm
AZ 4 - 1 Rijeka

Napoli

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 29, 2020 8.00pm
Real Sociedad 0 - 1 Napoli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result

HNK Rijeka 22.1%
Draw 24.76%
Napoli 53.14%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.34%

Goals

Over 2.5 47.61%
Under 2.5 52.39%
Over 3.5 25.92%
Under 3.5 74.08%

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 61.43%
Under 0.5 38.57%
Over 1.5 24.68%
Under 1.5 75.32%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 80.32%
Under 0.5 19.68%
Over 1.5 48.32%
Under 1.5 51.68%

Score analysis

HNK Rijeka 22.1%
Draw 24.76%
Napoli 53.13%
HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 7.23%
2-1 @ 5.6%
2-0 @ 3.45%
3-1 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.45%
3-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 22.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 7.59%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.76%
Napoli
0-1 @ 12.34%
0-2 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 9.55%
0-3 @ 5.43%
1-3 @ 5.18%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-4 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 2.1%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 53.13%