Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Oct 17, 2020 at 2pm UK

Stadio San Paolo

Napoli
4 - 1
Atalanta

Lozano (23', 27'), Politano (30'), Osimhen (43')
Lozano (79')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Lammers (69')
Toloi (38'), Gosens (45+1'), Djimsiti (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A encounter between Napoli and Atalanta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
39.78%	23.7%	36.52%

Both teams to score 62.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.55%

39.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.21%

61.79%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.88%

20.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.61%

52.39%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.29%

21.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.14%

54.86%

Score Analysis

Napoli 39.78%

Atalanta BC 36.52%

Draw 23.69%

Napoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 8.58% 1-0 @ 7% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.06% Total : 39.78%	1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 6.55% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.69%	1-2 @ 8.17% 0-1 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 4.16% 2-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.52%

Serie A

Napoli4 - 1Atalanta

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Napoli
4 - 1
Atalanta