Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Genoa |
| 67.45% | 18.98% | 13.58% |
| Both teams to score 51.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.51% | 41.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.11% | 63.89% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.66% | 11.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.97% | 36.03% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.71% | 42.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.32% | 78.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Genoa |
| 2-0 @ 11.36% 1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 8.25% 3-1 @ 7.1% 4-0 @ 4.49% 4-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.05% 5-0 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 3.82% Total : 67.44% | 1-1 @ 8.99% 0-0 @ 4.8% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.98% | 0-1 @ 4.13% 1-2 @ 3.87% 0-2 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.21% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.49% Total : 13.58% |