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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
VVV-Venlo | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
34.07% | 25.73% | 40.2% |
Both teams to score 54.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.7% | 49.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.65% | 71.35% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% | 27.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.78% | 63.22% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.78% | 24.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.44% | 58.56% |
Score Analysis |
VVV-Venlo | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
1-0 @ 8.61% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 6.74% 1-3 @ 4.09% 0-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 81 | 13 | 68 | 72 |
2 | Feyenoord | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 62 |
3 | FC Twente | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 53 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 49 |
5 | Ajax | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 41 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 39 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
8 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 34 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 31 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 30 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 28 |
14 | Heracles | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 22 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
17 | Vitesse | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 67 | -41 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |