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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 34.07% | 25.73% | 40.2% |
| Both teams to score 54.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.7% | 49.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.65% | 71.35% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% | 27.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% | 63.22% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% | 24.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.44% | 58.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 1-0 @ 8.61% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 6.74% 1-3 @ 4.09% 0-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.2% |