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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 10.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
74.55% | 15.43% | 10.01% |
Both teams to score 52.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.83% | 34.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.94% | 56.06% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.24% | 7.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.39% | 27.6% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.59% | 43.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.36% | 79.64% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
2-0 @ 11.01% 3-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 7.83% 4-0 @ 6% 4-1 @ 5% 3-2 @ 3.27% 5-0 @ 3.07% 5-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 2.09% 6-0 @ 1.31% 6-1 @ 1.09% 5-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.1% Total : 74.55% | 1-1 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 3.83% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.43% | 1-2 @ 3% 0-1 @ 2.81% 0-2 @ 1.17% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.96% Total : 10.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |