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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 10.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 74.55% | 15.43% | 10.01% |
| Both teams to score 52.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.83% | 34.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.94% | 56.06% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.24% | 7.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.39% | 27.6% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.59% | 43.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.36% | 79.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-0 @ 11.01% 3-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 7.83% 4-0 @ 6% 4-1 @ 5% 3-2 @ 3.27% 5-0 @ 3.07% 5-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 2.09% 6-0 @ 1.31% 6-1 @ 1.09% 5-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.1% Total : 74.55% | 1-1 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 3.83% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.43% | 1-2 @ 3% 0-1 @ 2.81% 0-2 @ 1.17% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.96% Total : 10.01% |