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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Heracles |
| 42.57% | 27.6% | 29.83% |
| Both teams to score 47.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.13% | 57.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.41% | 78.58% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% | 26.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.81% | 62.19% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.07% | 34.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.33% | 71.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 12.33% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.15% Total : 29.83% |