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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
Result | ||
VVV-Venlo | Draw | Heracles |
42.57% | 27.6% | 29.83% |
Both teams to score 47.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.13% | 57.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.41% | 78.58% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.12% | 26.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.81% | 62.19% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.07% | 34.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.33% | 71.66% |
Score Analysis |
VVV-Venlo | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 12.33% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.15% Total : 29.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |