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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 14.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 66.73% | 18.29% | 14.98% |
| Both teams to score 57.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.03% | 34.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.04% | 56.96% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.29% | 9.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.65% | 32.34% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.82% | 36.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.03% | 72.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 7.55% 3-0 @ 7.43% 4-1 @ 4.4% 4-0 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 3.84% 4-2 @ 2.24% 5-1 @ 2.06% 5-0 @ 2.02% 5-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 4.36% Total : 66.73% | 1-1 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.94% 0-0 @ 3.51% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.29% | 1-2 @ 4.23% 0-1 @ 3.57% 0-2 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.67% 1-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.25% Total : 14.98% |