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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 42.51% | 24.03% | 33.46% |
| Both teams to score 60.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.33% | 41.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.93% | 64.07% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% | 19.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.08% | 51.91% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% | 24.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.2% | 58.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% 1-0 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.09% Total : 42.51% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-1 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.46% |