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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 34.89% | 25.01% | 40.11% |
| Both teams to score 57.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.1% | 45.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.79% | 68.21% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.44% | 25.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.57% | 60.43% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% | 22.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.55% | 56.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% 1-0 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.89% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-1 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 4.29% 0-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.11% |