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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | FC Twente |
| 29.6% | 25.05% | 45.35% |
| Both teams to score 55.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.12% | 47.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.94% | 70.06% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% | 29.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.99% | 66.01% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.86% | 21.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46% | 53.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 7.63% 2-1 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.23% Total : 29.6% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.32% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 7.63% 1-3 @ 4.77% 0-3 @ 3.95% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.56% Total : 45.35% |