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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
18.34% | 21.36% | 60.29% |
Both teams to score 54.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.97% | 43.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.57% | 65.43% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.89% | 37.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.1% | 73.89% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.15% | 13.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.78% | 41.22% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
1-0 @ 5.09% 2-1 @ 4.99% 2-0 @ 2.52% 3-1 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.46% Total : 18.34% | 1-1 @ 10.07% 0-0 @ 5.14% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.36% | 0-1 @ 10.15% 0-2 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-3 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 6.56% 0-4 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 3.24% 2-4 @ 1.61% 0-5 @ 1.29% 1-5 @ 1.28% Other @ 3% Total : 60.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
3 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |