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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
ADO Den Haag | Draw | Heerenveen |
26.55% | 22.65% | 50.8% |
Both teams to score 61.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.93% | 39.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.61% | 61.39% |
ADO Den Haag Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.45% | 27.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.93% | 63.06% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.43% | 15.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.47% | 44.53% |
Score Analysis |
ADO Den Haag | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 6.63% 1-0 @ 5.53% 2-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 1.53% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.55% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-1 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 7.42% 1-3 @ 5.93% 0-3 @ 4.6% 2-3 @ 3.82% 1-4 @ 2.76% 0-4 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 1.78% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |