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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 37.06% | 27.04% | 35.9% |
| Both teams to score 50.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.47% | 54.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.12% | 75.88% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% | 28.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.87% | 64.13% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% | 29.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.99% | 65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.06% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.89% |