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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
44.05% | 25.03% | 30.92% |
Both teams to score 56.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.83% | 47.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.6% | 69.41% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.57% | 21.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.56% | 54.44% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.36% | 28.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.55% | 64.46% |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 9.11% 2-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.51% Total : 44.05% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.68% 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |