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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 31.92% | 24.55% | 43.53% |
| Both teams to score 58.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.36% | 44.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% | 67% |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.25% | 26.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.98% | 62.01% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% | 20.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.84% | 53.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 7.57% 1-0 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.92% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-1 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 4.77% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.78% Total : 43.53% |