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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 33.39% | 22.5% | 44.11% |
| Both teams to score 66.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.8% | 34.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.91% | 56.09% |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% | 20.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.38% | 53.63% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% | 16.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.41% | 45.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.54% 1-0 @ 5.29% 2-0 @ 4.14% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.81% Total : 33.39% | 1-1 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 6.87% 0-0 @ 3.38% 3-3 @ 2.18% Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 5.34% 2-3 @ 4.18% 0-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.56% 3-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.75% Total : 44.11% |