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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 13.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Emmen win it was 2-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Ajax |
| 13.83% | 17.65% | 68.53% |
| Both teams to score 56.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.53% | 34.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.6% | 56.4% |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.61% | 37.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.82% | 74.18% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.85% | 9.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.96% | 31.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 3.96% 1-0 @ 3.37% 2-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.55% 3-1 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.99% Total : 13.83% | 1-1 @ 8.05% 2-2 @ 4.74% 0-0 @ 3.42% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.65% | 0-2 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-1 @ 8.19% 0-3 @ 7.8% 1-3 @ 7.67% 0-4 @ 4.66% 1-4 @ 4.59% 2-3 @ 3.77% 2-4 @ 2.26% 0-5 @ 2.23% 1-5 @ 2.19% 2-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 4.68% Total : 68.53% |