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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Emmen |
| 63.73% | 20.68% | 15.59% |
| Both teams to score 50.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.16% | 44.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.8% | 67.2% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% | 13.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.69% | 40.31% |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.47% | 41.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.97% | 78.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-0 @ 11.24% 1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 6.62% 4-0 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.91% 5-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.92% Total : 63.73% | 1-1 @ 9.82% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.68% | 0-1 @ 4.89% 1-2 @ 4.32% 0-2 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.27% 1-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.71% Total : 15.59% |