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Champions League

Ajax
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2020 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Midtjylland

Ajax
3 - 1
Midtjylland

Gravenberch (47'), Mazraoui (49'), Neres (66')
Neres (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mabil (80' pen.)
Madsen (43')
Sviatchenko (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Ajax and FC Midtjylland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.28%) and 3-2 (5.4%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Midtjylland
51.28%19.85%28.86%
Both teams to score 73.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.65%23.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.27%42.72%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.08%9.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.16%32.83%
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11%17.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.32%48.67%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 51.28%
    FC Midtjylland 28.86%
    Draw 19.85%
AjaxDrawFC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 8.15%
3-1 @ 6.28%
3-2 @ 5.4%
2-0 @ 4.74%
1-0 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 3.63%
4-2 @ 3.12%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-3 @ 1.79%
5-1 @ 1.68%
5-2 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 51.28%
1-1 @ 7.05%
2-2 @ 7.02%
3-3 @ 3.1%
0-0 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 6.07%
2-3 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 3.48%
0-1 @ 3.05%
0-2 @ 2.63%
2-4 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.51%
1-4 @ 1.5%
3-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 28.86%