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Champions League

Midtjylland
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
MCH Arena
Ajax

Midtjylland
1 - 2
Ajax

Dreyer (18')
Vibe (84')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Antony (1'), Tadic (13')
Schuurs (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FC Midtjylland and Ajax, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawAjax
27.69%22.51%49.8%
Both teams to score 62.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.54%37.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.31%59.69%
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08%25.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09%60.91%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66%15.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.91%44.09%
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 27.69%
    Ajax 49.8%
    Draw 22.51%
FC MidtjyllandDrawAjax
2-1 @ 6.79%
1-0 @ 5.37%
2-0 @ 3.62%
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 2.87%
3-0 @ 1.63%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 27.69%
1-1 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 3.97%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.51%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-1 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 5.9%
0-3 @ 4.37%
2-3 @ 3.98%
1-4 @ 2.76%
0-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.87%
1-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 49.8%