Champions League
Nov 3, 2020 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT MCH Arena
  • Anders Dreyer 18' goal
  • Lasse Vibe 84' yellowcard
  • goal Antony 1'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 13'
  • yellowcard Perr Schuurs 25'

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 27, 2020 8.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 0 Midtjylland

Ajax

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 27, 2020 8.00pm
Atalanta 2 - 2 Ajax

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match.

Result

FC Midtjylland 27.69%
Draw 22.51%
Ajax 49.8%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.72%

Goals

Over 2.5 62.54%
Under 2.5 37.46%
Over 3.5 40.31%
Under 3.5 59.69%

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5 74.08%
Under 0.5 25.91%
Over 1.5 39.09%
Under 1.5 60.91%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 84.66%
Under 0.5 15.33%
Over 1.5 55.91%
Under 1.5 44.09%

Score analysis

FC Midtjylland 27.69%
Draw 22.51%
Ajax 49.8%
FC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 6.79%
1-0 @ 5.37%
2-0 @ 3.62%
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 2.87%
3-0 @ 1.63%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 27.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 3.97%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.51%
Ajax
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-1 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 5.9%
0-3 @ 4.37%
2-3 @ 3.98%
1-4 @ 2.76%
0-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.87%
1-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 49.8%