Eredivisie | Gameweek 8

Nov 8, 2020 at 11.15am UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
0 - 3
Ajax

FT(HT: 0-0)

Klaassen (62'), Tadic (71' pen.), Promes (90+1')
Tadic (65')

Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Ajax.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Ajax
23.19%	22.95%	53.86%

Both teams to score 56.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.31%

43.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.92%

66.08%

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.29%

32.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.74%

69.26%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.83%

16.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.37%

45.63%

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 23.19%

Ajax 53.86%

Draw 22.94%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 6.02% 1-0 @ 5.91% 2-0 @ 3.3% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.19%	1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 5.48% 0-0 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.94%	1-2 @ 9.81% 0-1 @ 9.64% 0-2 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 5.96% 0-3 @ 5.33% 2-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 2.71% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.52% 1-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.86%