Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.82%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 9.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.92%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a FC Twente win it was 2-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
