Eredivisie | Gameweek 16

Jan 14, 2021 at 7pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
1 - 3
Ajax

Pleguezuelo (84')
Rots (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Haller (7'), Huntelaar (90', 90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.82%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 9.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.92%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a FC Twente win it was 2-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Ajax
9.81%	14.37%	75.82%

Both teams to score 55.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.78%

29.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.74%

50.25%

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.78%

40.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.15%

76.85%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.6%

6.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.02%

23.98%

Score Analysis

FC Twente 9.81%

Ajax 75.82%

Draw 14.37%

FC Twente	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 2.93% 1-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.23% 2-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.24% Total : 9.81%	1-1 @ 6.44% 2-2 @ 4.04% 0-0 @ 2.57% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.2% Total : 14.37%	0-2 @ 9.73% 0-3 @ 8.92% 1-2 @ 8.86% 1-3 @ 8.12% 0-1 @ 7.07% 0-4 @ 6.13% 1-4 @ 5.59% 2-3 @ 3.7% 0-5 @ 3.37% 1-5 @ 3.07% 2-4 @ 2.54% 0-6 @ 1.55% 1-6 @ 1.41% 2-5 @ 1.4% Other @ 4.37% Total : 75.82%