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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Willem II |
| 55.71% | 22.9% | 21.39% |
| Both teams to score 54.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.45% | 45.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.12% | 67.88% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% | 16.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.33% | 45.66% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.59% | 35.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.83% | 72.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.5% 3-1 @ 5.99% 3-0 @ 5.77% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.63% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 0.99% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.32% Total : 55.7% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 0-0 @ 5.73% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 5.95% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.94% Total : 21.39% |