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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 63.45% | 20.12% | 16.43% |
| Both teams to score 54.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.26% | 40.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.87% | 63.13% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.79% | 12.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.12% | 37.88% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.03% | 37.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.26% | 74.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 3.78% 4-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.67% Total : 63.45% | 1-1 @ 9.44% 2-2 @ 4.81% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.12% | 1-2 @ 4.57% 0-1 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.55% 1-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.43% |