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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 16.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 1-3 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 2-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
VVV-Venlo | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
16.13% | 17.9% | 65.97% |
Both teams to score 62.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.48% | 30.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.18% | 51.83% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.08% | 31.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.63% | 68.37% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.32% | 8.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.1% | 29.9% |
Score Analysis |
VVV-Venlo | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 4.42% 1-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.06% 2-0 @ 1.81% 3-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 3% Total : 16.13% | 1-1 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 5.4% 0-0 @ 2.77% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.33% Total : 17.9% | 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-2 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 7.7% 0-1 @ 6.77% 0-3 @ 6.74% 1-4 @ 4.71% 2-3 @ 4.4% 0-4 @ 4.12% 2-4 @ 2.69% 1-5 @ 2.3% 0-5 @ 2.02% 2-5 @ 1.31% 3-4 @ 1.02% 1-6 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.52% Total : 65.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |