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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 51.69% | 23.82% | 24.49% |
| Both teams to score 55.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.8% | 46.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.51% | 68.49% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% | 17.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.35% | 48.65% |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% | 32.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.45% | 69.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.58% Total : 51.69% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.54% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.49% |