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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
51.69% | 23.82% | 24.49% |
Both teams to score 55.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.8% | 46.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.51% | 68.49% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.12% | 17.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.35% | 48.65% |
ADO Den Haag Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.04% | 32.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.45% | 69.54% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.58% Total : 51.69% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.54% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |