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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Willem II |
| 66.34% | 18.65% | 15.02% |
| Both teams to score 56.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.36% | 36.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.2% | 58.8% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.74% | 10.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.38% | 33.62% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.8% | 37.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.01% | 73.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 8.69% 3-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 7.43% 4-0 @ 4.28% 4-1 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 3.67% 4-2 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.93% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.94% Total : 66.34% | 1-1 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.84% 0-0 @ 3.82% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.65% | 1-2 @ 4.25% 0-1 @ 3.78% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.6% 1-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.13% Total : 15.02% |