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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 23.98% | 23.1% | 52.92% |
| Both teams to score 56.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.47% | 43.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.08% | 65.92% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% | 31.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% | 68.4% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% | 16.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.88% | 46.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 6.17% 1-0 @ 5.99% 2-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.62% Total : 23.98% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.57% 0-0 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-1 @ 9.48% 0-2 @ 8.56% 1-3 @ 5.88% 0-3 @ 5.15% 2-3 @ 3.35% 1-4 @ 2.65% 0-4 @ 2.33% 2-4 @ 1.51% 1-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.28% Total : 52.92% |