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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Emmen |
| 47.81% | 25.2% | 26.99% |
| Both teams to score 52.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.93% | 50.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.95% | 72.04% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% | 20.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.28% | 53.72% |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% | 32.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.42% | 69.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Emmen |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 8.44% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.55% Total : 47.8% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.67% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.48% Total : 26.99% |