Eredivisie | Gameweek 16

Jan 14, 2021 at 8pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
2 - 3
Groningen

Nunnely (60'), Pavlidis (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

El Hankouri (50', 90+3'), Itakura (84')
Itakura (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Groningen
32.96%	24.41%	42.63%

Both teams to score 59.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.4%

43.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34%

65.99%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.39%

25.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.51%

60.49%

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.42%

20.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.89%

53.11%

Score Analysis

Willem II 32.96%

Groningen 42.63%

Draw 24.4%

Willem II	Draw	Groningen
2-1 @ 7.73% 1-0 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 4.89% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.96%	1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.4%	1-2 @ 8.97% 0-1 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.82% Total : 42.63%