Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
