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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 51.32% | 26.09% | 22.58% |
| Both teams to score 46.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.12% | 56.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.2% | 77.79% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% | 22.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% | 55.68% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.36% | 40.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.77% | 77.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 13.58% 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.88% Total : 51.32% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 9.04% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 8.14% 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.27% Total : 22.58% |