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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Vitesse |
28.14% | 25.95% | 45.9% |
Both teams to score 51.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.6% | 52.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.92% | 74.08% |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.68% | 33.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.06% | 69.94% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.21% | 22.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.51% | 56.49% |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Vitesse |
1-0 @ 8.34% 2-1 @ 6.78% 2-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.15% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.59% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 11.22% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 8.3% 1-3 @ 4.5% 0-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.09% Total : 45.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |