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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 28.14% | 25.95% | 45.9% |
| Both teams to score 51.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.6% | 52.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.92% | 74.08% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% | 33.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.06% | 69.94% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% | 22.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.51% | 56.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% 2-1 @ 6.78% 2-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.15% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.59% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 11.22% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 8.3% 1-3 @ 4.5% 0-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.09% Total : 45.89% |