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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 29.05% | 23.84% | 47.11% |
| Both teams to score 59.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.2% | 42.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.79% | 65.21% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% | 27.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.72% | 63.29% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.65% | 18.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.53% | 49.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.1% 1-0 @ 6.53% 2-0 @ 4.19% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.05% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-1 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 7.31% 1-3 @ 5.3% 0-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.25% 0-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.52% Total : 47.11% |