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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Groningen |
| 50.59% | 23.26% | 26.15% |
| Both teams to score 58.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.76% | 42.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.35% | 64.65% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.19% | 16.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.21% | 46.79% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% | 29.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% | 65.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.56% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.22% Total : 50.59% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.87% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-1 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.15% |