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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Heracles |
| 51.91% | 26.47% | 21.62% |
| Both teams to score 44.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.98% | 59.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.51% | 79.49% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% | 22.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.35% | 56.65% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.16% | 42.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.85% | 79.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 14.46% 2-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-0 @ 5.24% 3-1 @ 4.44% 4-0 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.63% Total : 51.9% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 9.81% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 5.2% 0-2 @ 3.52% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.08% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.04% Total : 21.62% |