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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Heracles |
| 50.77% | 25.61% | 23.62% |
| Both teams to score 48.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.79% | 54.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.38% | 75.61% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% | 21.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.63% | 54.36% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.86% | 38.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.1% | 74.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% 2-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.76% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.62% |