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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.79%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 37.17% | 23.58% | 39.25% |
| Both teams to score 63.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.23% | 38.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.92% | 61.09% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% | 21.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.11% | 53.89% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% | 20.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.69% | 52.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% 1-0 @ 6.59% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.17% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 6.61% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-1 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 4.55% 2-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.1% Total : 39.25% |