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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.79%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
37.17% | 23.58% | 39.25% |
Both teams to score 63.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.23% | 38.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.92% | 61.09% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.93% | 21.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.11% | 53.89% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.92% | 20.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.69% | 52.32% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 8.24% 1-0 @ 6.59% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.17% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 6.61% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-1 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 4.55% 2-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.1% Total : 39.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |