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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 71.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 11.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 71.33% | 17.36% | 11.31% |
| Both teams to score 49.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.23% | 39.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.87% | 62.13% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.12% | 9.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.24% | 32.76% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.15% | 44.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.19% | 80.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 11.87% 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 7.34% 4-0 @ 5.3% 4-1 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 2.45% 5-1 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.7% 6-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.61% Total : 71.32% | 1-1 @ 8.23% 0-0 @ 4.43% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.89% Total : 17.36% | 0-1 @ 3.56% 1-2 @ 3.3% 0-2 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.01% Total : 11.31% |