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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 27.7% | 22.52% | 49.78% |
| Both teams to score 62.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.49% | 37.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.27% | 59.73% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% | 25.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.07% | 60.93% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% | 15.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.87% | 44.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 6.8% 1-0 @ 5.38% 2-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.7% | 1-1 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 3.98% 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-1 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 5.89% 0-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 3.98% 1-4 @ 2.76% 0-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.96% Total : 49.78% |